Tuesday, January 17

Low Homes starts, mean faster housing recovery.

Real Estate Guy is reporting the national annual home permits issued as follows.  (permits is as close as we can get to home starts, the number of new homes being built.) 


single family homes, numbers in thousands


1960         National      745                Midwest                 171
1970                             647                                                148
1980                             710                                                108
1990                             793                                                165
2000                          1198                                                 245


And the more recent years.


2004                           1613                                             295
2005                           1682                                             278
2006                           1378                                             209
2007                             979                                             153
2008                             575                                               93
2009                             441                                               75
2010                             447                                               75


Wow!!!   See the drop.   The peak year was 2005.  2009 and 2010 starts were just 25% of the top years.    Certainly the lowest in this time frame.  


We can see that builders are having a terrible time.  So what does this mean to the Housing market?


In a market which is flooded by an abundance of housing for sale, and foreclosures and short sales coming out of the woodwork.   Taking away the competition and adding of the extra supply from new construction reduces the pool of homes for sale.  It helps keep the market balanced.  It will lead to a speedier recovery.  A speedier recovery means good news for prices and sellers and the economy too.  


However, beware.   It will also leave us short of housing stock down the road, and this can lead to accelerated housing inflation. 
RealEstateGuy has been a full time, full service Realtor since 1993. He is dedicated to helping people achieve their Real Estate Goals and dreams.  In order to provide more specialized service, he created a team of hand picked specialists. Guy believes in constantly learning more, so regularly attends national seminars and trainings. Guy has been a top producer, leader in his office, a president of the Wisconsin chapter of CRS, and has spoken at the State Realtor Conventions.

0 comments: